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Tag Archives: ethical statistics
Risk, Overreaction, and Control
How many people died because of the September 11 attacks? The answer depends on what you are trying to measure. The official estimate is around 3,000 deaths as a direct result of hijacked aircraft and at the World Trade Center, … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged behavior, books, crime, culture, data, economics, elections, ethical statistics, explanation, foreign policy, history, international relations, nerd, political science, politics, psychology, reading, science, security, statistics, terrorism, traffic, transportation, violence, war
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Python for Political Scientists, Spring 2013 Recap
This spring Josh Cutler‘s Python course was back by popular demand. (This time it was known as “Computational Political Economy” but I like the less formal title.) I participated this time around as a teaching assistant rather than student, and … Continue reading
When will telephone polls have their “Literary Digest” moment?
Mention the name Literary Digest to a pollster and they will instantly know what you are talking about. Literary Digest is well-known for their famously wrong prediction that Kansas Republican Alfred Landon would beat Franklin Delano Roosevelt in the presidential election of 1936. … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged data, elections, entertainment, ethical statistics, nerd, online politics, political science, politics, polling, statistics, surveys, technology
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Reducing the Hidden Costs of Urban Living
USC graduate student Jeremy Fuller put it eloquently when he said, “Traffic really just defines your possibilities at any given time.” When traveling from one side of a large metro area to another in the US, a single individual has very … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged data, politics, behavior, traffic, transportation, technology, rationality, statistics, traffic circles, urban politics, nerd, micro-institutions, culture, ethical statistics, micro-institutions everywhere, how-to, traffic signals, traffic lights, commuting
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The Randomness of Borders
Rivers and oceans help to form natural boundaries, but if it’s a straight line you can bet that it’s essentially random–and it might even be in the wrong place: Four Corners Monument, which marks the intersection of Arizona, Colorado, New … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged data, economics, education, elections, ethical statistics, foreign policy, fun, history, how-to, international relations, micro-institutions, micro-institutions everywhere, Middle East, nerd, political science, politics, research, technology, violence, war
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The German Tank Problem
A few weeks ago I was talking with Kieran Healy about the impact the Second World War had on social science research. Specifically we discussed Machine Dreams and Keep from All Thoughtful Men. The conversation became less esoteric more interesting when he … Continue reading
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Tagged data, economics, education, ethical statistics, foreign policy, fun, history, how-to, international relations, nerd, political science, politics, research, security, statistics, violence, war
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Interviews with Over 50 IR Scholars
Readers of this blog may enjoy Theory Talks, which I recently discovered thanks to a link on Twitter that I cannot remember now. Here’s how the site describes itself: Theory Talks is an interactive forum for discussion of debates in International Relations with an … Continue reading
Review: Everything is Obvious
Everything is Obvious (Once You Know the Answer), by Duncan Watts, had been on my wishlist for a while before my sister gave it to me for my birthday. I was already sympathetic to the book’s key point: many conclusions … Continue reading
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Tagged behavior, data, economics, education, ethical statistics, history, information cascades, political science, politics, prediction, research, sociology, statistics, violence, war
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More Error in Art: Fake Rothko’s
We have talked before about error in art, and the two types of errors that can occur–false positives and false negatives. At the time, we discussed this problem from the perspective of scholars and museums. Today, we consider the problem … Continue reading
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Tagged art, Bayesian statistics, behavior, decision-making, economics, entertainment, ethical statistics, fun, game theory, how-to, loss functions, Mad Men, nerd, rationality, statistics, TV
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What is the Future of Publishing?
Today’s journal publishing system is the best possible. If you limit yourself to 17th century technology, that is. Quips like these were sprinkled throughout Jason Priem’s presentation on altmetrics at Duke on Monday. Altmetrics is short for “alternative metrics,” or … Continue reading
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Tagged academica, behavior, communication, ethical statistics, history, how-to, media, philosophy of science, political science, research, science
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