Tag Archives: statistics

Risk, Overreaction, and Control

How many people died because of the September 11 attacks? The answer depends on what you are trying to measure. The official estimate is around 3,000 deaths as a direct result of hijacked aircraft and at the World Trade Center, … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Dollar Bills and US State Borders

A number of proposals (not all serious) have been floating around lately to redraw the borders of the US. According to this list nearly every US state has groups wanting to partition it somehow. One idea was fifty states with … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

When will telephone polls have their “Literary Digest” moment?

Mention the name Literary Digest to a pollster and they will instantly know what you are talking about. Literary Digest is well-known for their famously wrong prediction that Kansas Republican Alfred Landon would beat Franklin Delano Roosevelt in the presidential election of 1936. … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Communication Technology and Politics

We have been on a technology kick this week, first talking about modern etiquette and then how technology improved traffic in LA. Today I want to point out two neat papers at the intersection of communication technology and politics. The … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Reducing the Hidden Costs of Urban Living

USC graduate student Jeremy Fuller put it eloquently when he said, “Traffic really just defines your possibilities at any given time.” When traveling from one side of a large metro area to another in the US, a single individual has very … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Just Don’t Call It Moneyball

Situated in the tech startup capital of the world, it should come as no surprise that the San Francisco Giants are leveraging data analysis to give the team a competitive edge: Within the organization, there are three programmers who maintain … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The German Tank Problem

A few weeks ago I was talking with Kieran Healy about the impact the Second World War had on social science research. Specifically we discussed Machine Dreams and Keep from All Thoughtful Men. The conversation became less esoteric more interesting when he … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Accidents, Worker Safety, and Coming Due

Over the holidays my dad posed a two-part question after dinner: If a vehicle goes 200,000 miles without a mechanical failure does that mean that it is more likely to have a failure soon? And does the same hold true … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Converting and Standardizing Country Names/Codes in R

We have run into this issue before: you have datasets with different coding schemes for the cross-sectional unit. You need to get them all standardized so you can merge the data and increase the measurement error  control for a reviewer’s favorite … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Regulating Baby Names

In America we have a tradition of ridiculous baby names dating back to our Puritan founders. Without regulation, we end up with names like Noun, Comma, and even Semicolon. There’s even a whole book of Bad Baby Names. Citizens of … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments